JOHN
MUELLER: LINKS, PAPERS, AND PUBLICATIONS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB
December 23, 2009
Curriculum
Vita
Biography
Profile in U.S. News
& World Report
Courses
Dance Film
Archive
Recent books
Atomic Obsession: Nuclear Alarmism from Hiroshima to Al-Qaeda, published in November 2009 by Oxford University
Press (amazon.com
is currently selling book at a substantial discount) information and
website about this book
Overblown: How Politicians, the Terrorism Industry and Others Stoke
National Security Fears, published in
November 2006 by Free Press. (amazon.com
is currently selling book at a substantial discount) information
and website about this book
The Remnants of War (Cornell
University Press, 2004; paperback edition with new preface, 2007) information
Capitalism, Democracy, and Ralph's Pretty Good Grocery (Princeton University Press, 1999) information
Policy and Opinion in the Gulf War (University of Chicago Press, 1994) information
Books and monographs available for free downloading in pdf format or in
reprinted editions
Quiet Cataclysm: Reflections on the Recent Transformation of World
Politics (HarperCollins, 1995) 2009 reprint edition
information
about downloading
Retreat from Doomsday: The Obsolescence of Major War (Basic Books, 1989) updated 2009 reprint
edition information
about downloading
War, Presidents and Public Opinion (Wiley, 1973) 2009 reprint edition
Also
available by arrangement with the author and publisher: Robert H. Johnson, Improbable
Dangers: U.S. Conceptions of Threat in the Cold War and After (St. Martin's
Press, 1997) 2009
reprint edition information
about downloading
Papers and articles available on the web
"Assessing
Measures Designed to Protect the Homeland," Policy Studies Journal,
forthcoming, 2010 prepublication draft in pdf
"The 'Safe Haven' Myth," Nation,
9 November 2009 html
"Mueller on the Zazi case: This is
It?" Informed Comment, www.juancole.com, 4 November 2009 html
"The Rise of
Nuclear Alarmism: How we learned to start worrying and fear the bomb‑‑and
why we don't have to," www.foreignpolicy.com, 23 October 2009 html
"War Has Almost Ceased to Exist: An
Assessment," 124 Political Science Quarterly 297-321 (Summer
2009) pdf
(with Karl Mueller), "The Rockets' Red
Glare: Just what are 'weapons of mass destruction, anyway?"
www.foreignpolicy.com, 7 July 2009 html
"Abolition? Why?" No Nukes:
Possibility or Pipe Dream? Room
for Debate, nytimes.com, 7 June 2009 html
(with Ian S. Lustick) "Israel's Fight-or-Flight Response," National
Interest, Nov./Dec. 2008, pp. 68-71 html
"Faulty Correlation, Foolish Consistency, and Fatal Consequence:
Democracy, Peace, and Theory in the Middle East," in Steven H. Hook (ed.),
Democratic Peace and Promotion: Critical Perspectives (Kent State
University Press, forthcoming) prepublication draft in pdf
"Establishing
Principles for Evaluating Measures Designed to Protect the Homeland from
Terrorism." Paper presented at the National Convention of the
International Studies Association,
"Ask This: Will Obama reassess the threat posed by Al Qaeda?" Nieman
Watchdog, Nieman Foundation for Journalism,
(with Mark G. Stewart) Cost-Benefit Assessment of
"Fearing Fear," www.cato‑unbound.org, 9
January 2009
html
"The
Costs and Consequences of Efforts to Prevent Proliferation." Paper
delivered at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association,
Boston, MA, August 2008 pdf
"Evaluating the Terrorist Threat," Los Angeles Times
Syndicate/Tribune Media, 19 May 2008 pdf Published
in Spanish as "EE UU exagera la amenaza de Al Qaeda" in El País
(Spain), 2 June 2008 html
"Terrorphobia: Our False Sense of Insecurity," American Interest,
May/June 2008, pp. 6-13 html
(with Mark G. Stewart) "A risk and cost-benefit assessment of United
States aviation security measures," 1 Journal of Transportation Security
143-59 (2008) pdf
(with Mark G. Stewart) "A Risk and Cost-Benefit Assessment of Australian
Aviation Security Measures," 4 Security Challenges 45-61 (Spring
2008) pdf
"Terror, without terrorists," Ottawa Citizen, April 25,
2008, p. a15 html
also published as: Terror threat is overblown, Montreal Gazette,
April 29, 2008, p. a17 html
"The
Quixotic Quest for Invulnerability: Assessing the Costs, Benefits, and
Probabilities of Homeland Security." Paper presented at the National
Convention of the International Studies Association, San Francisco, California,
March 28, 2008 (for revised, updated version, see February 2009 ISA paper here in pdf)
"Dead and deader," Los Angeles Times, January 20, 2008, p. M7
op-ed on the Rambo movies with additional material pdf
"The Atomic Terrorist: Assessing the Likelihood." Paper presented at
the Program for International Security Policy, University of Chicago, January
15, 2008 pdf
"Apocalypse
Later," National Interest, Nov./Dec. 2007, pp. 19-20 html
"Radioactive
Hype," The National Interest, Sep./Oct. 2007, pp. 59-65 pdf pdf reformatted for
easier reading
"Reactions and Overreactions to Terrorism: The Atomic Obsession."
Paper presented at the Annual Meetings of the American Political Science
Association, Chicago, Illinois, August 31, 2007 pdf
"Fear Not: Notes from a naysayer," Bulletin of the Atomic
Scientists, March/April 2007, pp. 30-37. pdf
"The Demise of War and of Speculations about the Causes
Thereof." Paper presented at the National Convention of the
International Studies Association,
"Reacting to Terrorism: Probabilities, Consequences, and the Persistence
of Fear." Paper presented at the National Convention of the
International Studies Association,
"What If We Leave? When nightmare scenarios are used to justify endless
war, it's time to wake up," American Conservative, February 26,
2007. html
"Terror doesn't add up," Guardian (
"Reflections on What, If Anything, 'Are We Safer' Might Mean,"
September 2006. Lead essay and discussion (Clark Kent Irwin, Veronique de Rugy,
and Timothy Naftali) on Cato
Unbound web site
"Is There A Still a Terrorist Threat? The Myth of the Omnipresent
Enemy," Foreign Affairs, September/October 2006. Article and
roundtable discussion (with James Fallows, Jessica Stern, Fawaz Gerges, and
Paul Pillar) on Foreign Affairs
web site
"This Just In: Was Has Almost Ceased to Exist" pdf
Paper delivered at the International Studies Association Meetings, San Diego,
California, March 24, 2006
"Force,
Legitimacy, Success, and
"The
Iraq Syndrome," 84 Foreign Affairs 44-54 (November/December
2005) article
in html without the figures figures
(updated) in Powerpoint
"Six
Rather Unusual Propositions about Terrorism," Terrorism and Political
Violence, Autumn 2005 article in
pdf The journal also published comments on the article by Richard
Betts, Daniel Byman, and Martha Crenshaw. Response
to these comments in pdf
"Reactions and Overreactions to Terrorism." Paper
presented at the Conflict Studies Conference, "Terrorism in History: The
Strategic Impact of Terrorism from
Transcript
from presentation on panel dealing with issues of risk (together with Paul
Slovic and Detlof von Winterfeldt), Data Privacy and Integrity Advisory
Committee, Department of Homeland Security, Bellingham, Washington, September
28, 2005 pdf
(panel begins on page 16 of the document)
"Simplicity
and Spook: Terrorism and the Dynamics of Threat Exaggeration." pdf
Paper presented at the National Convention of the International Studies
Association, Honolulu, Hawaii, March 2, 2005 (later and longer version of the International
Studies Perspectives article below)
"Simplicity
and Spook: Terrorism and the Dynamics of Threat Exaggeration," 6 International
Studies Perspectives, 155-73 (May 2005) pdf
Short
paper: "This Just In: War Has Almost Ceased to Exist," January 2005. in English
in pdf in Spanish
in pdf related
Powerpoint presentation Related article from The
New Republic, "The End of
War?" (word) by Gregg Easterbrook, May 30, 2005
"What Was the Cold War About? Evidence from Its
Ending," 119 Political Science Quarterly 609-31 (Winter 2004-05) pdf
"A False Sense of Insecurity?" Regulation, Fall 2004, pp.
42-46 pdf
"Why Isn't There More Violence?" 13 Security
Studies 191-203 (Spring 2004) pdf
The Role of Business Virtue in Economic Development:
Six Propositions Provoked in Part by P.T. Barnum with an Extrapolation to the
Post-Communist Experience. Paper presented at the roundtable on "Political
Economy and Socialism,"
The Politics of Cutting and Running
History News Network, May 24, 2004
Anti-War? Unenthusiastic About Kerry?
The Recipe for a Bush Victory History News Network, May 3, 2004
"Policing
the Remnants of War" (pdf), 40 Journal of Peace Research 507-18
(September 2003) (pdf)
"American
Public Opinion and Military Ventures Abroad: Attention, Evaluation, Involvement,
Politics, and the Wars of the Bushes." Paper delivered at the Annual
Meeting of the American Political Science Association,
Op-ed suggesting U.S was heading toward debacle in Iraq,
July 2003. Rejected by Washington Post.
The Banality of "Ethnic War"
(pdf) 25 International Security 42-70 (Summer
2000)
Trends in Political Tolerance 52 Public Opinion Quarterly 1-25 (Spring 1988) (pdf)
A Foggy Day at the Shaw Festival in Niagara-on-the-Lake,
Ontario, 1998, 1999