January 29, 2012
VITA AND BIBLIOGRAPHY OF
JOHN MUELLER
Senior Research
Scientist,
and Adjunct Professor of Political
Senior Fellow, Cato Institute,
1501
614-247-6007
614-292-2407 (fax)
bbbb@osu.edu
PERSONAL
INFORMATION
Citizenship:
Born:
Marital Status: Married, three children
EDUCATION
A.B.,
1960 University of
M.A., 1963 UCLA, Political Science
Ph.D., 1965 UCLA, Political Science
USPHS Fellow, 1962-1965
M.A.
THESIS
The
Politics of Fluoridation in Seven California Cities
Ph.D.
DISSERTATION
Reason
and Caprice: Ballot Patterns in
TEACHING
EXPERIENCE
Foreign
and defense policy, international relations, dance as an art form, public
opinion, the war in Vietnam, dance history and film, choreography of Fred
Astaire, perspectives on war and peace, change in post-Communist countries,
terrorism
PROFESSIONAL
HISTORY
1965-69
Assistant Professor of Political Science, University of Rochester
1969-72 Associate Professor of Political Science, University of Rochester
1972-2000 Professor of Political Science, University of Rochester
1983-2000 Professor of Film Studies, University of Rochester
February-June 1994 Visiting Professor, Institute of International Relations,
Comenius University, Bratislava, Slovakia
January 1997 Distinguished Visiting Professor, University of Alberta
February-March 1997 Guest Scholar, Brookings Institution, Washington, DC
April-May
1997 Visiting Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University
2000-2011 Woody Hayes Chair of National Security Studies, Mershon Center for
International Security Studies, and Professor of Political Science, Ohio State
University
2000- Courtesy faculty appointment, Department of
Dance, Ohio State University
February-June 2001 Senior Guest Researcher, Norwegian Nobel Institute,
2011- Senior Research Scientist,
Biography
Profile
in U.S. News & World Report
Courses
Reprinted
books available on the web
BOOKS
AND MONOGRAPHS
(with
Mark G. Stewart) Terrorism, Security, and Money: Balancing the Risks,
Benefits, and Costs of Homeland Security (
(ed.)
Terrorism Since 9/11: The American Cases (
War
and Ideas: Selected Essays (
Atomic
Obsession: Nuclear Alarmism from
Overblown:
How Politicians and the Terrorism Industry Inflate National Security Threats,
and Why We Believe Them (
The
Remnants of War
(
(ed.)
Peace, Prosperity, and
Politics (
Capitalism,
Democracy, and Ralph’s Pretty Good Grocery
(Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1999) (Ukrainian
translation, 2003; Russian translation by Olimp-Biznes,
(ed.
with Randall L. Calvert and Rick K. Wilson) William H. Riker, The Strategy
of Rhetoric: Campaigning for the American Constitution (New Haven, CT: Yale
University Press, 1996)
Quiet
Cataclysm: Reflections on the Recent Transformation of World Politics (New York: HarperCollins, 1995) available in 2009
reprint
Policy and
Opinion in the Gulf War (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1994)
(ed.
with Richard G. Niemi and Tom W. Smith) Trends in Public Opinion: A
Compendium of Survey Data (Westport, CT: Greenwood, 1989)
Retreat
from Doomsday: The Obsolescence of Major War (New York: Basic Books, 1989) available in updated
2009 reprint
Astaire
Dancing: The Musical Films (New York:
Knopf, 1985). Received the de la Torre Bueno Prize, presented by Dance
Perspectives Foundation, for “the most distinguished book-length manuscript in
the field of dance,” 1983, improved and expanded reprint edition, 2010 information about the 2010
reprint
Dance
Film Directory: An Annotated and Evaluative Guide to Films on Ballet and Modern
Dance (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton
Book Co., 1979)
Films
on Ballet and Modern Dance: Notes and a Directory(New York: American Dance Guild, 1974) (includes extensive
analysis of Humphrey’s “Passacaglia” and Graham’s “Night Journey”)
War,
Presidents and Public Opinion (New
York: Wiley, 1973). Selected as one of the “Fifty Books That
Significantly Shaped Public Opinion Research, 1946-1995” by the American Association
for Public Opinion Research, Public Opinion Quarterly, Fall 1995.
Recipient of the first Warren J. Mitofsky Award for Excellence in Public
Opinion Research presented by the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research,
November 8, 2007 available
in 2009 reprint
(ed.)
Approaches to Measurement in International Relations: A Non-Evangelical
Survey (New York: Appleton-Century-Crofts, 1969)
PUBLICATIONS IN POLITICAL SCIENCE: ARTICLES AND SELECTED PAPERS
“War, Crime, and Terrorism: Some Distinctions,” in Mary
Ellen O’Connell (ed.), What Is War?
(Martinus Nijhof, forthcoming)
“WMD Terrorism: The Prospects,” in Richard Jackson and Justin Sinclair
(eds.), Contemporary Debates in Terrorism
(
“Terror Tipsters,” The Skeptics blog, nationalinterest.org, January 24, 2012 html
Also posted as “A Scary Thought: Do We Really Need ‘If You See
Something, Say Something’?” Cato@liberty blog, January 24, 2012 html
“New Year Brings Good News on Terrorism: Experts Wrong Again,” The Skeptics
blog, nationalinterest.org, January 4, 2012 html
(with
Mark G. Stewart) Cost-Benefit Analysis of Aviation Security: Installed
Physical Secondary Barriers (IPSB), Federal Air Marshal Service (FAMS), and Federal Flight Deck
Officer (FFDO) Program. Research Report No. 281.12.2011, Centre for Infrastructure Performance
and Reliability, University of Newcastle, Newcastle, Australia, December 2011 html to pdf
“Newt Gingrich and the EMP
Threat,” The Skeptics blog, nationalinterest.org, December 13, 2011. Also posted on
cato@liberty blog html
“Will Obama’s
“Embracing
Threatlessness: Reassessing U.S. Military Spending,” in Michael Gerson and
Alison Lawler Russell (eds.), American
Grand Strategy and Seapower, Conference Report, Center for Naval Analysis,
Washington, DC, November 2011, 47-59 pdf
(with Mark G. Stewart) “Dueling Delusions: Terrorism and
Counterterrorism in the United States Since 9/11,” paper delivered at the
Program on International Security Policy, University of
(with Mark G. Stewart) “Cost-Benefit Analysis of
Advanced Imaging Technology Full Body Scanners for Airline Passenger Security
Screening,” Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, 2011 html and df
(with Mark G. Stewart) “Assessing the Risks, Costs,
and Benefits of Counter-Terrorism Protective Measures for Infrastructure,” CIP
Report, Vol. 10, No. 5, November 2011, 3-5, 31 pdf
(with Mark G. Stewart) “The Price is Not Right: The
U.S. spends too much money to fight terrorism,” Playboy, October 2011,
149-50 pdf
“Dick Cheney and the
Never-ending, Extravagant al-Qaeda Alarmism,” The Skeptics blog,
nationalinterest.org, September 20, 2011 html
Also posted on cato@liberty blog
(with Mark G. Stewart) three essays on Slate.com:
“Does the United States Spend Too Much on Homeland Security? The government
refuses to subject homeland security to a cost-benefit analysis,” September 7,
2011, “Probability Neglect: Why the government massively overestimates the
risks of terrorism,” September 8, 2011, “1,667 Times Square-Style Attacks Every
Year: That’s how many terrorism plots we would have to foil to justify our
current spending on homeland security,” September 9, 2011 html
(with Mark G. Stewart) “Witches, Communists, and
Terrorists: Evaluating the Risks and Tallying the Costs,” ABA Human Rights
Magazine, Vol. 38, No. 1, Winter 2011, 18-20 pdf
“U.S. Intervention from Kosovo to
(with Mark G. Stewart and Bruce R. Ellingwood) “Homeland
Security: A Case Study in Risk Aversion for Public Decision-Making,” International
Journal of Risk Assessment and Management, Vol. 15, nos. 5/6, 2011 pdf
(with Mark G. Stewart) “At Issue: Does Al Qaeda still pose a serious threat to
the
(with Mark Stewart) “Terrorism cash could save
lives elsewhere,” Newcastle Herald,
August 26, 2011 pdf
(with Mark G. Stewart) “Balancing the Risks, Costs, and Benefits of Homeland
Security,” Homeland Security Affairs, August 2011 pdf
“The
Truth About al Qaeda: Bin Laden’s Files Revealed the Terrorists in Dramatic
Decline,” foreignaffairs.com, August 2, 2011
(with Mark Stewart) “Money Can’t Buy Zero Risk,” Australian Financial Review, May 20, 2011, 3. pdf Also published in slightly revised form as “Ten years and $1 trillion
later, what has all our security spending achieved?” Nieman Watchdog, Ask This,
June 2, 2011
“‘Clocking’ Nuclear Weapons,” ISN Insights, May 30, 2011
“The
“Security
at What Price?” review of David K. Shipler, The Rights of the People: How Our
Search of Safety Invades Our Liberties. Wilson
Quarterly, Spring 2011, 97-98
“‘Iraq Syndrome’ and fear of
“Room
for Debate: Should the
John Mueller and Mark G. Stewart, "Terror, Security,
and Money: Balancing the Risks, Costs, and Benefits of Homeland Security," paper presented at the Annual Convention of the Midwest Political
Science Association, Chicago, Illinois, April 1, 2011 pdf Published in slightly
revised form in August 2011 in Homeland Security Affairs (see above)
“Bombendämmerung,”
review of Richard Rhodes, The Twilight of the Bombs: Recent Challenges, New
Dangers, and the Prospects for a World Without Nuclear Weapons. Physics World, February 2011
“Questing for Monsters to Destroy,” in Melvyn Leffler and
Jeffrey W. Legro (eds.), In Uncertain
Times: American Foreign Policy after the
“Public Opinion, the Media, and War,” in Robert Y. Shapiro and
“Action
and Reaction: Assessing the Historic Impact of Terrorism,” in Jean E. Rosenfeld
(ed.), Terrorism, Identity, and
Legitimacy: The Four Waves theory and political violence (
“Reacting
to Terrorism: Probabilities, Consequences, and the Persistence of Fear,” in
Rafael Reuveny and William R. Thompson (eds.), Coping with Contemporary Terrorism: Origins, Escalation,
Counterstrategies, and Responses (
“Capitalism,
Peace, and the Historical Movement of Ideas,” 36 International Interactions 169-84, March 2010 pdf
“The
Atomic Terrorist?” in Benjamin Friedman, ed., Terrorizing Ourselves: Why
“Assessing Measures Designed to Protect the Homeland,” in
Benjamin Friedman, ed., Terrorizing
Ourselves: Why
“Faulty
Correlation, Foolish Consistency, and Fatal Consequence: Democracy, Peace, and
Theory in the Middle East,” in Steven W. Hook (ed.), Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice (
(with
Mark G. Stewart) “Hardly Existential: Thinking Rationally About Terrorism,”
foreignaffairs.com April 2, 2010 pdf
Review of Francis J. Gavin, “Same As It Ever Was: Nuclear Alarmism,
Proliferation, and the Cold War,” H-Diplo, March 18, 2010 pdf
“Assessing
Measures Designed to Protect the Homeland” and “Response,” 38 Policy Studies Journal 1-21, 41-46,
February 2010 pdf
“Think
Again: Nuclear Weapons: President Obama’s pledge to rid the world of atomic
bombs is a waste of breath. But not for the reasons you might imagine,” Foreign Policy, January-February 2010,
38-44 html
“Exaggerating the alarm over a nuclear attack,” washingtonpost.com, January 21,
2010 html
“Atomic
Overreaction: The dangerously obsessive sway of worst-case fantasies about
“Calming
Our Nuclear Jitters: An exaggerated fear of nuclear weapons has led to many
wrongheaded policy decisions. A more sober assessment is needed,” Issues in Science and Technology, Winter
2010, 58‑66 pdf
“The
threat of terrorism is overblown and more manageable than suspected,” in Stuart
Gottlieb, ed., Debating Terrorism and
Counterterrorism: Conflicting Perspectives on Causes, Contexts, and Responses
(
“Is International Terrorism a Significant Challenge to
National Security?” in Peter M. Haas, John A. Hird, and Beth McBratney (eds.), Controversies in Globalization: Contending
Approaches to International Relations (
“The Atomic Terrorist?” Nuclear Proliferation Update, Cato Institute,
January 2010 pdf
“Nuclear
Bunkum: Don’t panic: bin Laden’s WMD are mythical, too,” American
Conservative, January 2010, 20‑21 html
“The ‘Safe Haven’ Myth,” Nation, November 9, 2009 html
“Mueller
on the Zazi case: This is It?” Informed Comment, www.juancole.com, November 4,
2009 html
Comments on this piece by Bruce Schneier, November 9, 2009 html
“The
Rise of Nuclear Alarmism: How we learned to start worrying and fear the
bomb—and why we don’t have to,” www.foreignpolicy.com, October 23, 2009. html
“War
Has Almost Ceased to Exist: An Assessment,” 124 Political Science Quarterly
297-321 (Summer 2009)
(with
Karl Mueller) “The Rockets Red Glare: Just what are ‘weapons of mass destruction,
anyway?’ www.foreignpolicy.com, 7 July 2009 html
“Abolition?
Why?” No Nukes: Possibility or Pipe Dream? Room for Debate, nytimes.com, June
7, 2009 html
“The
Atomic Terrorist?” Research Paper for the International Commission on Nuclear
Non‑Proliferation and Disarmament, 30 April 2009 pdf
“Obama’s
Report Card,” foreignpolicy.com, April 2009
“How
Dangerous are the Taliban? Why
“
“Establishing
Principles for Evaluating Measures Designed to Protect the Homeland from
Terrorism.” Paper presented at the National Convention of the
International Studies Association,
“Will
Obama reassess the threat posed by al Qaeda?” Ask This, Nieman Watchdog,
www.niemanwatchdog.org, February 2, 2009
“Fearing
Fear,” www.cato‑unbound.org, January 9, 2009 html
“The Long-Term Political and Economic Consequences of 9/11,” in Matthew H.
Morgan (ed.), The Impact of 9/11: The Day
that Changed Everything? (
“Inflating
Terrorism,” in Jane K. Cramer and A. Trevor Thrall (eds.), Threat Inflation: The Theory, Politics, and Psychology of Fear
Mongering in the
(with
Ian S. Lustick) “Israel’s Fight-or-Flight Response,” National Interest, Nov./Dec. 2008, 68-71 html
“The Iraq War and the Management of American Public Opinion,” in James Pfiffner
and Mark Phythian (eds.), Intelligence
and National Security Policy Making in Iraq: British and American Perspectives
(Manchester, UK: Manchester University Press, 2008), 126-48
"The
Costs and Consequences of Efforts to Prevent Proliferation." Paper
delivered at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association,
Boston, MA, August 2008 pdf
"Evaluating the Terrorist Threat," Los Angeles Times
Syndicate/Tribune Media, May 19, 2008 pdf Published
in Spanish as "EE UU exagera la amenaza de Al Qaeda" in El País
(Spain), 2 June 2008 html
“Terrorphobia: Our False Sense of Insecurity,” American Interest, May/June 2008, 6-13 html
(with Mark G. Stewart) “A Risk and Cost-Benefit Assessment of Australian
Aviation Security Measures,” 4 Security
Challenges 45-61 (Spring 2008) pdf
(with Mark G. Stewart) “A risk and cost-benefit assessment of United States
aviation security measures,” 1 Journal of
Transportation Security 143-59 (2008) pdf
“Security, Muscularity and Morality: Three Comments on Etzioni,” 51 American Behavioral Scientist 1339-50,
May 2008
“Band of Brigands: The Criminality of Modern Warfare,” Lapham’s Quarterly, Winter 2008, 193-98
“Extrapolations from a Book about Nothing,” in Helen Fehervary and Bernd
Fischer (eds.), Cultural Poltics and the
Politics of Culture: Essays to Honor Alexander Stephan (Bern: Peter Lang,
2007), 39-45
“Apocalypse
Later,” National Interest, Nov./Dec.
2007, 19-20
“Radioactive Hype,” National Interest, Sep./Oct. 2007, 59-65 pdf pdf reformatted for easier reading
“The
Terrorism Industry: The Profits of Doom,” in George Kassimeris (ed.), Playing Politics with Terrorism: A User’s
Guide (
“Fear
Not: Notes from a naysayer,” Bulletin of
the Atomic Scientists, March/April 2007, 30-37
“What
If We Leave? When nightmare scenarios are used to justify endless war, it’s
time to wake up,” American Conservative,
February 26, 2007
“
“Ask This: Ten questions about Homeland Security,” Nieman Watchdog, Nieman
Foundation for Journalism,
“Vers la fin de la guerre?” Politique Étrangère 4:2006, 863-75
“Outfront Q & A: Protecting Our Golf Courses,” Forbes, November 27, 2006, 54, as interviewed by Susan Adams
“Terror doesn’t add up,” essay on Guardian (UK) comment is free website,
November 20, 2006
“Residual
Warfare: John Mueller on the future of terrorism,” Reason, October 2006, 32-34, as interviewed by Nick Gillespie
“Is There A Still a Terrorist Threat? The Myth of the Omnipresent Enemy,” Foreign Affairs, September/October 2006,
2-8. Roundtable followup discussion on “Is There A Still a Terrorist Threat?”
with James Fallows, Jessica Stern, Fawaz Gerges, and Paul Pillar on
foreignaffairs.com
“Reflections
on What, If Anything, ‘Are We Safer’ Might Mean,” September 2006. Lead essay
and discussion (with Clark Kent Irwin, Veronique de Rugy, and Timothy Naftali)
on Cato Unbound website
“Terrorism,
Overreaction, and Globalization,” in Richard N. Rosecrance and Arthur A. Stein
(eds.), No
“Accounting
for the Waning of Major War,” in Raimo Väyrynen (ed.), The Waning of Major
War: Theories and Debates (
“The
Cost of War,” Foreign Affairs, January‑February 2006, dialog with
Christopher Gelpi on public opinion
“The
“Force,
Legitimacy, Success, and
“Six
Rather Unusual Propositions about Terrorism,” 17 Terrorism and Political
Violence 487‑505 (Autumn 2005)
“Response,”
17 Terrorism and Political Violence 523‑528 (Autumn 2005). Reply
to comments published in the journal about the “Six Propositions” article by
Richard Betts, Daniel Byman, and Martha Crenshaw
“Ordering
the New World,” in Michael Bothe, Mary Ellen O’Connell, and Natalino Ronzitti
(eds.), Redefining Sovereignty: The Use of Force After the Cold War (
“Ask
this: Why not cool down the terrorism rhetoric a little?” Nieman Watchdog,
Questions the Press Should Ask, September 23, 2005, published on the web at
Nieman Watchdog
“Simplicity
and Spook: Terrorism and the Dynamics of Threat Exaggeration,” 6 International
Studies Perspectives, 155-73 (May 2005)
“What
Was the Cold War About? Evidence from Its Ending,” 119 Political Science
Quarterly 609-31 (Winter 2004-05)
“A
False Sense of Insecurity?” Regulation, Fall 2004, 42-46 Also
published in Florida Real Estate Journal, July 16-31, 2005
“Why
Isn’t There More Violence?” 13 Security Studies 191-203 (Spring 2004)
“Attitudes
Toward Democracy and Capitalism: A Western Benchmark,” in Janos Kornai and
Susan Rose Ackerman (eds.), Building a Trustworthy State: Problems of Post
Socialist Transition (
“Policing
the Remnants of War,” 40 Journal of Peace Research 507-18 (September
2003)
“Police
Work or War? Public reactions to dates of infamy,” Public Perspective,
March/April 2003, 31-34
“Blip
or Step Function?” Paper delivered at the International Studies Association
Meetings, Portland, Oregon, February 27, 2003 pdf
Extended version of the National Interest article of Fall 2002
“Should We Invade Iraq?”
(html) A reason.com on-line debate with Brink Lindsey posted October 2002, as
published in Reason, January 2003
“Harbinger or Aberration?” National Interest, Fall 2002, 45-50 pdf Shorter, op-ed version published as “False
Alarms,” Washington Post, September 29, 2002, p. B7 pdf
“Public Support for Military Ventures Abroad: Evidence from
the Polls,” in Robert T. Turner (ed.), The Real Lessons of the
Vietnam War: Reflections Twenty-Five Years After the Fall of Saigon (
“American
Foreign Policy and Public Opinion in a New Era: Eleven Propositions,” in
Barbara Norrander and Clyde Wilcox (eds.), Understanding Public Opinion,
2nd edition (
“The
Banality of ‘Ethnic War,’” 25 International Security 42-70 (Summer 2000)
(with
Karl Mueller) “The Methodology of Mass Destruction: Assessing Threats in the
New World Order,” 23 Journal of Strategic Studies 163-87 (March 2000);
also published in Eric Herring (ed.), Preventing the Use of Weapons of Mass
Destruction (
“The
Rise of the Politically Incorrect One-Handed Economist,” in John Mueller (ed.),
Peace,
Prosperity, and Politics (
“Public
Opinion, War, and the Military,” The
“The
Rise, Decline, and Shallowness of Militant Nationalism in
“Duelling
Counterfactuals,” in John Lewis Gaddis, Philip H. Gordon, Ernest R. May, and
Jonathan Rosenberg (eds.), Cold War Statesmen Confront the Bomb: Nuclear
Diplomacy Since 1945 (London: Oxford University Press, 1999), 272-83 pdf (pdf
does not contain the notes)
“The
Rise, Decline, Shallowness, and Banality of Militant Nationalism in
(with
Karl Mueller) “Sanctions of Mass Destruction,” 78 Foreign Affairs 43-53
(May/June 1999)
“Democracy:
Optimal Illusions and Grim Realities,” Research Monograph Series, Center for
the Study of Democracy,
“The
Escalating Irrelevance of Nuclear Weapons,” in T.V. Paul, Richard J. Harknett,
and James J. Wirtz (eds.), The Absolute Weapons Revised: Nuclear Arms and
the Emerging International Order (Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan
Press, 1998), 73-98
“The
Common Sense,” National Interest 81-88 (Spring 1997)
“Democracy,
Capitalism, and the End of Transition,” in Michael Mandelbaum (ed.), Post-Communism:
Four Perspectives (New York: Council on Foreign Relations Press, 1996), 102-67
“Nine Propositions about the Historical Impact of Nuclear
Weapons,” in Jørn Gjelstad and Olav Njølstad (eds.), Nuclear Rivalry and
International Order (London and Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, 1996), 55-74
“Foreign
Policy Principles for Unthreatened Wealth-seekers,” Foreign Policy 22-33
(Spring 1996)
“Fifteen
Propositions about American Foreign Policy and Public Opinion in an Era Free of
Compelling Threats.” Paper given at Annual Convention of the International
Studies Association, San Diego, CA, April 19, 1996 pdf
“Capitalism
and the Milk of Human Kindness,” in Pavol Karasz, Jana Plichtová, Vladimír
Krivý (eds.), Economics & Politics (Bratislava, Slovakia: Slovak
Committee of the European Cultural Foundation, 1995), 88-95
“Minorities
and the Democratic Image,” 9 East European Politics and Societies 513-22
(Fall 1995)
“Le concept de puissance et la politique
internationale depuis la fin de la guerre froide,” 26 Études internationales
711-27 (Décembre 1995). Also published in
Michel Fortmann, S. Neil MacFarlane, and Stéphane Roussel (eds.), Tous pour
un ou chacun pour soi: Promesses et limites de las coopération régionale en
matière de sécurité (Québec: Institut québécois des hautes études
internationales, 1996), 71-87
“The
Perfect Enemy: Assessing the Gulf War,” 5 Security Studies 77-117
(Autumn 1995) pdf
“The
Catastrophe Quota: Trouble After the Cold War,” 38 Journal of Conflict
Resolution 355-75, September 1994 (also in Polish in Spoeczestwo Otwarte,
“The
Impact of Ideas on Grand Strategy,” in Richard Rosecrance and Arthur A. Stein
(eds), The Domestic Bases of Grand Strategy (Ithaca, NY: Cornell
University Press, 1993), 48-62
“American
Public Opinion and the Gulf War,” in
“American
Public Opinion and the Gulf War: Some Polling Issues,” 57 Public Opinion
Quarterly 80-91, Spring 1993 pdf
“Theory
and Democracy” 36 American Journal of Political Science 1015-22
(November 1992)
“Democracy
and Ralph’s Pretty Good Grocery: Elections, Equality and the Minimal Human
Being,” 36 American Journal of Political Science 983-1003 (November
1992)
“Dueling,
War and the Utility of Force: A Response to Akhtar Majeed,” 23 Bulletin of
Peace Proposals 103-7 (March 1992)
“Quiet
Cataclysm: Some Afterthoughts About World War III,” 16 Diplomatic History
66-75 (Winter 1992). Also in Michael J. Hogan (ed.), The End of the Cold
War: Its Meaning and Implications (New York: Cambridge University Press,
1992), 39-52
“
“Is War Still Becoming Obsolete?” Paper
delivered at American Political Science Association Convention,
“Preaching
to the Choir: Strike Up the Band and War,” essay in the liner notes for
the 1991 recording of the Gershwin-Kaufman Strike Up the Band
“Eaters,
Watchers, and Revolutionaries,” program note, Scottish National Opera
production of Marc Blitzstein’s
“War:
Natural, but not Necessary,” in Robert A. Hinde (ed.), The Institution of
War (London: Macmillan, 1991), 13-29
“Changing
Attitudes Towards War: The Impact of the First World War,” 21 British
Journal of Political Science 1-28 (January 1991)
“Deterrence,
Nuclear Weapons, Morality, and War,” in Charles W. Kegley, Jr. and Kenneth L.
Schwab (eds.), After the Cold War: Questioning the Morality of Nuclear
Deterrence (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1991), 69-97
“
“Taking
Peace Seriously: Two Proposals,” in Robert Jervis and Seweryn Bialer (eds.), Soviet-American
Relations After the Cold War (Durham, NC: Duke University Press, 1991),
262-75
“The
Obsolescence of Major War,” 21 Bulletin of Peace Proposals 321-28
(September 1990)
“A
New Concert of
“The
Essential Irrelevance of Nuclear Weapons: Stability in the Postwar World,” 13 International
Security 55-79 (Fall 1988) pdf
“Trends
in Political Tolerance,” 52 Public Opinion Quarterly 1-25 (Spring 1988) pdf
“
“Containment
and the Decline of the Soviet Empire: Some Tentative Comments on the End of the
World As We Know It.” Paper delivered at the International Studies Association
Convention,
“The
Cold War Consensus: From Fearful Hostility to Wary Contempt,” in Richard A.
Melanson and Kenneth W. Thompson (eds.), Foreign Policy and Domestic
Consensus (Lanham, MD: University Press of America, 1985), 7-18
“Reassessment
of American Policy, 1965-1968,” in
“Reflections
on the Vietnam Protest Movement and on the Curious Calm at the War’s End,” in
Peter Braestrup (ed.), Vietnam as History (Lanham, MD: University Press
of America, 1984), 151-57 html
“A
Summary of Public Opinion and the Vietnam War,” in Peter Braestrup (ed.),
“
“The
Search for the ‘Breaking Point’ in Vietnam: The Statistics of a Deadly
Quarrel,” 24 International Studies Quarterly 497-519 (December 1980) pdf
(pdf includes the article as well as comments on the article by Richard K.
Betts and Frederick Z. Brown and a rejoinder by John Mueller)
“Public
Expectations of War During the Cold War,” 23 American Journal of Political
Science 301-29 (May 1979)
“Changes
in American Public Attitudes Toward International Involvement,” in Ellen Stern
(ed.), The Limits of Military Intervention(Beverly Hills, CA: Sage,
1977), 323-44
“A
Project Autobiography: War, Presidents, and Public Opinion,” in James N.
Rosenau (ed.), In Search of Global Patterns (New York: Free Press,
1976), 111-43
“Public
Opinion and the President,” in Rexford G. Tugwell and Thomas E. Cronin (eds.), The
Presidency Reappraised (New York: Praeger, 1974), 133-47
“Conclusions
from the Public Opinion Polls: Comparisons with
“Trends
in Popular Support for the Wars in
“Choosing
Among 133 Candidates,” 34 Public Opinion Quarterly 395-402 (Fall 1970) pdf
“The
Political Scientist Decides: An Examination of the 1969 APSA Ballots,” PS,
Summer 1970, 311-20
“Presidential
Popularity from Truman to Johnson,” 64 American Political Science Review
18-34 (March 1970)
“Voting
on the Propositions,” 63 American Political Science Review 1197-1212
(December 1969)
“The
Use of Content Analysis in International Relations,” in George Gerbner (ed.), The
Analysis of Communication Content (New York: Wiley, 1969), 187-97
“Fluoridation
Attitude Change,” 58 American Journal of Public Health 1876-82 (October
1968); reprinted in 28 The Health Education Journal (
“Incentives
for Restraint:
“Some
Comments on Russett’s `Discovering Voting Groups in the United Nations,’” 61 American
Political Science Review 146-48 (March 1967)
(with
R.N. Rosecrance) “Decision-Making and the Quantitative Analysis of International
Relations,” Year Book of World Affairs 1967 (London: Stevens, 1967),
1-19
“Il Fluoro della Discordia,” Mercurio
(Rome, December 1966) 34-38
“The
Politics of Fluoridation in Seven California Cities,” 19 Western Political
Quarterly 54-67 (March 1966)
“Suggestions
for the Use of Simple Experimental Methods in Political Research,” 18 Western
Political Quarterly 42-43 (September 1965, Supplement)
EDITORIAL
PAGE COLUMNS IN THE
“Salvador,
Vietnam and Other Ventures,” February 14, 1984
“Vietnam Involvement Was a Failure, Not a Folly,” April 10, 1984
“Steering a Path Between Risks and Benefits to Life,” August 13, 1984
“Lessons Learned Five Years After the Hostage Nightmare,” November 6, 1984
“Crime Is Caused by the Young and Reckless,” March 6, 1985
“The Bomb’s Pretense as Peacemaker,” June 4, 1985
“Backward Goes the Doomsday Clock,” June 3, 1986
“Presidents and Terrorists Should Not Mix,” March 31, 1987
“Arms Reduction: Don’t Talk, Just Do It,” June 1, 1988
“New, Improved Opiates for the Masses!” May 23, 1989
EDITORIAL
PAGE COLUMNS IN THE LOS ANGELES TIMES
“Dropping
Out of the War System,” September 12, 1988
“In
Europe, Time to Give Peace a Chance, Combining NATO and the
“Why Build New California Universities When Eastern Classrooms Go Begging?”
July 16, 1989
“Democracy:
All They Need to Do Is Catch the Bug,” November 19, 1989
“
“Perspective
on `The Vision Thing’: Stay the Benign, Unruffled Course,” May 14, 1990
“The
Real Infamy Was an Unnecessary War,” December 6, 1991
“If
Killing Is Down, Are Guns Out? Are Dads In?” September 9, 1992
“Depressed
by Politics? Some Words of Cheer,” October 31, 1996
“2,000
dead‑‑will it doom the war?” October 26, 2005. Also published under
the title, “Why this unpopular war has no tipping point,” in Christian
Science Monitor, November 1, 2005
“Dead
and Deader,” January 20, 2008
EDITORIAL
PAGE COLUMNS IN THE NEW YORK TIMES
“Will
“A Quick Victory? It Better Be,” January 19, 1991
EDITORIAL
PAGE COLUMNS IN THE
“False
Alarms,” Sunday, September 29, 2002, B7
“Cameras and Credibility,” February 4, 2003, A25
ARTICLES
IN THE NEW REPUBLIC
“Conclusions
from the Public Opinion Polls: Comparisons with
“Enough Rope: The Cold War Was Lost, Not Won,” July 3, 1989, 14-16
“Well Off: Good riddance, McCain-Feingold,” November 15, 1999, 21-22
ARTICLES
IN REASON
“St.
Phineas: How P.T. Barnum helped create business ethics,” March 2001, 54-57
“What’s
the Rush?” “Suicide Watch,” and “Deterring the Egomaniac Dictator,” three essays
as part of an online debate with Brink Lindsey on reason.com, “Should We Invade
ARTICLE
IN THE AMERICAN
“Democracy
vs. Capitalism,” March 2002, 44-45
EDITORIAL
PAGE COLUMN IN THE
“The
Lonely Commander: President is threatening a war Americans don’t want to
fight,” November 18, 1990
ARTICLES
IN IDEAS OR CURRENTS SECTION OF THE SUNDAY
“Peace
Has Broken Out,” March 26, 1989
“Enemies? No, Allies!” December 3, 1989
“Key to European Security Is Still the
“On
ARTICLES
POSTED ON THE HISTORY NEWS NETWORK
The Politics of Cutting and Running,
May 24, 2004
Anti-War? Unenthusiastic About Kerry?
The Recipe for a Bush Victory, May 3, 2004
ARTICLES
IN PERSPECTIVE SECTION OF THE
“The
Art of a Deal: No Rewards for Iraqi Aggression,” December 16, 1990
“Thoughts on a Quiet Cataclysm: Are we beyond global conflict?” September 1,
1991
EDITORIAL
PAGE COLUMN IN THE
“
EDITORIAL
PAGE COLUMN IN THE
“
EDITORIAL
PAGE COLUMN IN AFTENPOSTEN (
(with Karl Mueller), “Nei til
masseødeleggelsessankjoner,” March 12, 2001, 12
FEATURE
ARTICLES IN MOSTY (
“Pokojná
kataklizma: Tretiu svetovú u máme za sebou,” November 21, 1995
“Pokojná kataklizma: Honba za problémami,” November 28, 1995
“Pokojná kataklizma: Vojna: prirodzená, ale nie nevyhnutná,” December 5, 1995
“Pokojná kataklizma: Nemoderná inštitúcia--vojna,” December 12, 1995
“Pokojná kataklizma: Predpovedané katastrofy,” December 27, 1995
EDITORIAL
PAGE COLUMNS ALSO IN DALLAS
MORNING NEWS, ROCHESTER DEMOCRAT
AND CHRONICLE, ROCKY MOUNTAIN NEWS, ROCHESTER TIMES-UNION, PEORIA JOURNAL STAR, COLUMBUS DISPATCH,
CHRISTIAN SCIENCE MONITOR, KENTUCKY ENQUIRER, CINCINNATI ENQUIRER,
MILWAUKEE JOURNAL, ORLANDO
SENTINAL, OTTAWA CITIZEN, OMAHA WORLD-HERALD, MONTREAL
GAZETTE, EL PAIS (MADRID)
GRANTS, FELLOWSHIPS, HONORS IN POLITICAL SCIENCE
The
Remnants of War received the Joseph
Lepgold Prize for the best book on international relations in 2004, awarded by
Guggenheim
Fellowship: Deterrence, Stability and the Potential Obsolescence of Major War,
1988
War,
Presidents and Public Opinion
selected as one of the “Fifty Books That Significantly Shaped Public Opinion
Research, 1946-1995” by the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Public
Opinion Quarterly, Fall 1995. Recipient of the first Warren J.
Mitofsky Award for Excellence in Public Opinion Research presented by the Roper
Center for Public Opinion Research, November 8, 2007
Edward
Peck Curtis Award for Excellence in Undergraduate Teaching, University of
Honorary
Member, Golden Key National Honor Society (1995)
Teacher
of the Year,
National
Science Foundation: Public Opinion in Wartime, 1967-68
National
Science Foundation: Public Opinion in Wartime, 1968-70
National
Science Foundation: Public Expectations About War, 1974-75
Listed
in Who’s Who in the World, Who’s Who in
Member,
Distinguished
Scholar Award,
Susan
Strange Award, International Studies Association, that
“recognizes a person whose singular intellect, assertiveness, and insight most
challenge conventional wisdom and intellectual and organizational complacency
in the international studies community,” 2009
Selected
for “The Playboy Honor Roll: Meet 20 Professors who are reinventing the
classroom,” by Ling Ma, Tim McCormick, and Josh Schollmeyer, Playboy,
October 2010 article
in pdf
OTHER
RELATED ACTIVITIES IN POLITICAL SCIENCE
Member,
Board of Overseers, General Social Survey,
Contributor,
Funk and Wagnalls New Encyclopedia
Book
reviews in New York Times Sunday Book Review, American Political
Science Review, Journal of Politics, Armed Forces and Society,
Political Science Quarterly, Rochester Democrat and Chronicle, Los
Angeles Times, Public Opinion Quarterly
Adviser,
“
Official
Representative, Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research,
1979-84
Co-Editor,
Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 1985-89
Editorial
Board, Public Opinion Quarterly, 1988-1991
Editorial
Board, Journal of Cold War Studies, 1999-
Chairman,
Department of Political Science, University of Rochester, 1989-91
Participant,
NATO Discussion Series, Atlantic Council,
Member,
Advisory Committee, Center for Polish and Central European Studies,
Director,
Editorial
Board,
PAPERS,
LECTURES, SEMINARS IN POLITICAL SCIENCE SINCE 1986 (pdf)
AWARDS,
HONORS IN DANCE AND FILM
de
la Torre Bueno Prize, presented by Dance Perspectives Foundation, to Astaire
Dancing: The Musical Films for “the most distinguished book-length
manuscript in the field of dance,” 1983
Distinguished
Scholar Award,
Listed
in Who’s Who in the World, Who’s Who in
DVDS PRODUCED
(Distributed by Dance Film
Archive,
Fire
Dance. 2004. Features the famous Loïe
Fuller solo from 1896 as reconstructed and performed by Jessica Lindberg.
The DVD includes a studio performance of the work, a studio performance with
audio commentary by Jessica Lindberg and Megan Slayter, a studio performance
edited from several camera angles by Shawn Hove, a studio performance
accompanied by the notated score, a live performance recorded from two camera
angles which the viewer can toggle between using the angle button, a
documentary on “Loïe Fuller: Her Life and Art,” a documentary on
“Reconstructing Loïe Fuller’s Fire Dance,” and archival films from 1897-1905 of
Loïe Fuller and her imitators. DVD authoring by Shawn Hove.
Gaîté
Parisienne. 2006. Features
Victor Jessen’s film, taken between 1945 and 1955, of performances of the
famous Leonide Massine ballet by the Ballet Russe de Monte Carlo. Also audio
commentary by one of the leading dancers of the era, Frederic Franklin, a
documentary on the ballet, a documentary on Jessen, and an interview with
Symphonie
Fantastique. 2008. Features a work
film, with synchronized piano music of the Leonide Massine ballet in a 1949
performance by the Royal Danish Ballet. Includes explanatory titles. DVD
authoring by Shawn Hove. The DVD is distributed commercially by Video Artists
International as well as by OSU’s Dance Film Archive. Extensive notes on the
film can be found on VAI’s website.
FILMS
PRODUCED AND DIRECTED
(Distributed by Dance Film
Archive,
Afternoon
of a Faun. 11 min., 1973 (still photographs and drawings of the original
Nijinsky ballet synchronized with music score)
Dying
Swan. 3 min., 1973 (still photographs synchronized with music score to show the
original choreography by Fokine)
Light
Part 5. 20 min., 1976 (filming of the Kei Takei dance work as performed by
Takei and company)
Royal
Danish Ballet 1902-1906. 14 min., 1979 (processing of historic silent film and
addition of synchronized music)
The
Traitor. 19 min., 1979 (processing of historic silent film from 1955 showing a
performance of the Jose Limon work as danced by the original cast, and
synchronization of the music score)
Two
Ecstatic Themes: Two Performances. 13 min., 1980 (filming of the classic Doris
Humphrey solo as performed by Nina Watt and Carla Maxwell of the Jose Limon
Dance Company)
Symphonie
Fantastique. 51 min., 1980 (processing of a historic silent film of the Leonide
Massine ballet, and addition of synchronized music)
St.
Francis (Nobilissima Visione). 39 min., 1982 (processing of a historic silent
film of the Leonide Massine ballet as danced by the original cast, and addition
of synchronized music)
Seventh
Symphony. 32 min., 1982 (processing of a historic silent film of the Leonide
Massine ballet as danced by the original cast, and addition of synchronized
music)
Water
Study. 22 min., 1982 (filming of the classic Doris Humphrey group work as
performed by dancers under the direction of Ernestine Stodelle)
Bonnie
Bird Demonstrates Graham Technique, 1938-39. 11 min., 1986 (processing of
historic silent film)
Gaite
Parisienne. 38 min., 1986 (processing of historic film) (distributed 1988 in
videocassette by Video Arts International,
PUBLICATIONS
IN DANCE, FILM, AND MUSICAL THEATER: ARTICLES
“Dance
on Film” in Mary Clark and David Vaughan (eds.), The Encyclopedia of Dance
and Ballet (New York: Putnam, 1977)
“The
Value, Use, and Availability of Dance Films,” in
“Filmed
Dance and Dance Films,” Ballett 1978 (
“The
Oldest Ballet Movie,” Dance Magazine, July 1979, 40-43
“Film
and Videotape as Teaching Tools,” Dance Critics’ Association News,
December 1979
“Is
Giselle a Virgin?” Dance Chronicle Vol. 4, No. 2 (1981), 151-54
“The
Filmed Dances of Fred Astaire,” Quarterly Review of Film Studies, Vol. 6
(Spring 1981), 135-54; reprinted as
“Fred
Astaire. Verfilming van zijn dansnummers,” Versus (Nijmegen,
Netherlands), March 1983, 9-20
“Images de Nijinski,” L’Avant-Scene
Ballet/Danse (Paris), no. 7, 1981
“Limon’s
Tormented Traitor,” Dance Magazine, May 1981, sc-26-30
“Watching
an American Screen Original,” Dance Magazine, May 1984, 131-35
“Fred
Astaire and the Integrated Musical,” Cinema Journal, Fall 1984,
28-40
Analytic
lecture on the second sound track of The Criterion Collection laserdisc edition
of the film, Swing Time (New York and Los Angeles: Janus Films and
Voyager Press, 1986)
(with
Don McDonagh), “Making Musical Dance,” Ballet Review, Vol. 13, No. 4
(Winter 1986), 23-44
“Fred
Astaire,” Encyclopedia of World Biography (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1987),
73-74
“The
Astaire Illusion,” Dance Magazine, November 1987, 34-35
“The
White Swan Adagio, “ in Janice Ross and Stephen Cobbett Steinberg (eds.), Why
a Swan? (San Francisco: San Francisco Performing Arts Library and Museum,
March 1989), 25-29
“Eaters,
Watchers, and Revolutionaries,” program note, Scottish National Opera production
of Marc Blitzstein’s
“Preaching
to the Choir: Strike Up the Band and War,” essay in the liner notes for the
1991 recording of the Gershwin-Kaufman Strike Up the Band
“The
Gershwins and the Astaires,” essay in the liner notes for the 1992 recording of
the Gershwins’ Lady, Be Good!
“Fred
Astaire” in International Encyclopedia of Dance (New York: Oxford
University Press, 1998)
“The
Gershwin-Wodehouse Connection,” essay in programme for A Foggy Day, Shaw
Festival, Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario, 1998
“Fred
Astaire,” American National Biography (New York: Oxford University Press,
1999), 693-95
“Ginger
Rogers,” American National Biography (New York: Oxford University Press,
1999), 756-57
Full‑length
commentary track for the Fred Astaire‑Ginger Rogers film, Swing Time,
released on DVD by Warner Home Video, autumn 2005. Also interviewed for short
documentaries later distributed on the Warner Home Video DVDs of Top Hat,
Follow the Fleet, Swing Time, Shall We Dance, and The
Barkleys of Broadway.
Interviewed
SCRIPTS
FOR MUSICAL COMEDIES
A Foggy Day.
A musical comedy created by incorporating songs by George and Ira Gershwin into
a play by G. Wodehouse and Ian Hay. 1984.
Produced
(under the title “Reaching for the Moon”) by Eastman Opera Theatre, Eastman
School of Music, Rochester, NY, October 30-November 3, 1987 (7 performances).
Produced (co-written by Norm Foster)
by the Shaw Festival, Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario, Canada, May 5-November 1,
1998 (126 performances).
Produced (co-written by Norm Foster)
by the Shaw Festival, Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario, Canada, April 29-November
14, 1999 (135 performances).
One for My
Baby. An expansion and development for the stage of a film script (The
Sky’s the Limit) adding songs mostly with lyrics by Johnny Mercer. 1985.
Professional reading, Geva Theatre,
GRANTS
FROM THE NATIONAL ENDOWMENT FOR THE HUMANITIES
“Development
of Teaching Materials for Media-Based Dance Appreciation Courses” 1972-73
“Increasing the Availability of Dance Films” 1974-75
“Increasing the Availability of Dance Films” 1977-78
“Processing and Distributing Massine Ballet Films” 1979-81
OTHER
RELATED ACTIVITIES IN DANCE AND FILM
Director,
Dance Film
Archive, University of Rochester, 1983-2000,
Faculty
member at Dance Critics Institutes at American Dance Festival, Connecticut
College and Duke University (1977-1980); University of Texas; London Dance
Umbrella (1981); University of Iowa (1984); Dance in Canada Conference,
Vancouver (1986)
Dance
critic, Rochester Democrat and Chronicle, 1974-82
Member,
Dance Panel,
Member,
Advisory Board, Dance in
Participant,
Film and Humanities Summer Institute, American Film Institute (
Co-organizer
and chief adviser, Early Years Dance Festival, SUNY Purchase, 1981
Member
of the Board, Dance Critics Association, 1983-85
Member,
Dance Panel, National Endowment for the Arts, 1983-85
Editorial
Board,
Columnist
on dance films, Dance Magazine, 1974-82 list of
columns
Supervision and transferring of the OSU Dance Film Archive film to
videocassette from the “Seventh Symphony,” which was used by the Cincinnati
Ballet to mount one movement from the work (for the first time in over 50
years) for their Ballet Russe de Monte Carlo season, October 18-19, 2002.
The Cincinnati Ballet then mounted the entire work from the film, performing it
October 8-9, 2004.
Keynote
speaker, Fred Astaire: The Conference,
LECTURES/FILM
SHOWINGS ON FRED ASTAIRE
BOOK
REVIEWS
David
K. Shipler, The Rights of the People: How Our Search of Safety Invades Our
Liberties. Wilson Quarterly, Spring 2011, 97-98
Richard
Rhodes, The Twilight of the Bombs: Recent Challenges, New Dangers, and the
Prospects for a World Without Nuclear Weapons. Physics World, February
2011, 38-39
William
Langewiesche, The Atomic Bazaar: The Rise of the Nuclear Poor. Bulletin of
the Atomic Scientists, November/December 2007, 55-56 pdf
Andrew
J. Bacevich and Efraim Inbar (eds.), The Gulf War of 1991 Reconsidered. Journal
of Cold War Studies, Winter 2005, 191-93
Mark
E. Pietrzyk, International Order and Individual
Yahya
Sadowski, The Myth of Global Chaos. Annals of the
Christopher,
Coker, War and the Illiberal Conscience. International History Review,
December 1999, 1123-25
Charles
Hamm, Irving Berlin: Songs from the Melting Pot: The Formative Years,
1907-1919. New York Times Sunday Book Review, April 27, 1997, 23.
William
H. McNeill, Keeping Together in Time: Dance and Drill in Human History. New
York Times Sunday Book Review, October 22, 1995, 22.
Richard
Barrios, A Song in the Dark: The Birth of the Musical Film. New York Times
Sunday Book Review, June 24, 1995, 24.
Stephen
Citron, Noel and Cole: The Sophisticates. New York Times Sunday Book Review,
June 6, 1993, 24.
Michael
Howard, The Lessons of History. American Political Science Review, September
1992, 842-43.
Ginger
Rogers, Ginger: My Story. New York Times Sunday Book Review, October 20,
1991, 14-15.
Ellen
Frey-Wouters and Robert S. Laufer, Legacy of a War: The American Soldier in
Allan
E. Goodman, The Lost Peace:
Herbert
Y. Schandler, The Unmaking of the President: Lyndon Johnson and
Klaus
Knorr, On the Uses of Military Power in the Nuclear Age; Bernard Brodie,
Escalation and the Nuclear Option. American Political Science Review,
December 1967, 1109-10
ENCYCLOPEDIA
ARTICLES
“Aversion
to war” and “Overreaction as a cause of violent conflict,” International
Encyclopedia of Peace, forthcoming
“The War on Terror,” Encyclopedia of Libertarianism (
“Public
Opinion and Policy in Wartime,” Encyclopedia of War & American Society
(
“Should Campaign Financing Be Reformed? Campaign Finance Reform Is Not
Necessary” (Point/Counterpoint sidebar), Encarta, posted 2000
“Public Opinion,” Funk & Wagnalls New Encyclopedia, 1983